How Much Time Are You Going To Waste? How Much Money Are You Going To lose?

Professional Forex TraderSome statistics for you to consider.

95% of retail Forex traders lose money.

Most retail traders blow a min of 3 trading accounts before they give up.

Apx 50% of retail traders give up within the first 6 months.

Of the 50% that are left apx 90% of them give up within 2 years. Of the 10% that are left around 30% will go on to achieve consistent profitability.

The average length of time it takes a retail trader who sticks it out to get to consistent profitability is 6 years.

Not great stats are they?

Why are these stats so bad?

I was watching a YouTube video the other day of a so called professional trader who said that he did not know how institutional traders trade. He also said that brokers do not put retail orders in the market, but just write them down on a piece of paper. There were over 200 people watching his live feed trying to learn from him. How are you ever going to make money listening to people like that, and the internet is full of these clowns.

You are not going to learn how to trade by watching YouTube videos.

I was sent this email the other day from a marketing company telling me about this fantastic trader.

Hi Rob,

I wanted to give you one last reminder to get started with xxxx’s trading room. His $7 trial is ending in just a few hours (midnight TONIGHT).

Look I’ve been in this industry for a few decades now, and I’ve seen all sorts of rapscallions trying to bamboozle you into joining something to steal your hard-earned income.

That is not the case here.

We’re offering to give you full access to a legendary trader (xxxx xxxx) for just $7 for an entire 7 days.

Think about what it would cost to pay someone like this to be your coach. Most people of his caliber are charging a MINIMUM of $1,000 per hour.

That’s $40k for a week… and we’re giving you access for just $7.

Why?

It’s pretty simple.

We know that many of you will continue to stay on as members, paying just $197/mo for access to his trading room (which is a steal in itself!). The $7 is simply to weed out those who are actually serious about this, from those who aren’t.

And I want to reassure you that if this trading room isn’t for you… just cancel it within that first 7 days and you’ll never be charged again. It’s easy to cancel – just email his support team. There’s no trickery here.

Go here to get started now.

Remember, this offer ends at midnight tonight, just a few hours from now.

So people of his caliber charge a min of 1000 bucks an hour, but he’s charging 7 bucks a week, then 197 a month. Why do people fall for this crap. If he was worth a 1000 bucks an hour that’s what he would be charging.

And if he is such an amazing trader, why would you decide that his trading room is not for you?

Read the title of this article again and think about this statistic.

90% of successful professional traders have been trained by another successful professional trader.

Don’t waste any more time or money. For more information on my Forex training and mentoring program please click here.

Is Fundamental Analysis Better Than Technical Analysis?

is fundamental analysis better than technical analysisI am not going to name names here, but i was watching a video from a well respected Forex training provider today, and it prompted me to write this article.

His training course is heavily weighted towards the premise that you will have more success if you use fundamental analysis rather than technical analysis.

The provider stated that professional traders, hedge funds, investment banks etc, are 80% fundamental and 20% technical. All of their trading decisions are based on macroeconomics and they are just using a 20% technical approach to help with market entries.

Now this is all perfectly reasonable, and i teach fundamental as well as technical analysis in my training course, but is fundamental analysis better than technical analysis? I don’t think it is.

Fundamental analysis will only give you an opinion of the market direction, and opinion is subjective. Sometimes your opinion is correct, and sometimes its incorrect. Just because you think something is going to happen, does not mean it will happen.

There has been a strong fundamental case for a number of months now, for the BOJ to expand on monetary easing, but they have not done it as yet. So if you have been buying yen pairs based on that, then you are in a bit of bother right now.

Putting fundamental analysis to the ultimate test.

Now is a great time to put fundamental analysis to the ultimate test. Lets take the Brexit vote for example. Now if Fundamental analysis was the best thing since sliced bread, and you were a hedge fund trader, or an investment bank, you would have been on the right side of the Brexit move.

Now do a search on Google to find out how many of these guys were on the right side of that move. There are 1000’s of hedge funds and investment banks, but it seems only 1 guy made any serious money on the move. And that was Crispin Odey. Crispin is a well respected hedge fund guy and he made 220 million on Brexit. See Brexit buccaneer rakes in £220million.

I would just like to point out that Crispin manages an 8 billion fund. So although he made 220 million, he only made a 2.75% return on that particular trade. Yes i agree its not too shabby, but people need the facts i think.

If the title of the article was “Brexit buccaneer rakes in 2.75%” it would not have the same ring to it now would it. :-)

Here are a few sentences from that article.

A hedge fund tycoon made more than £220 million for himself and his investors yesterday after betting on Brexit.

As many in the City nursed heavy losses, staunch Leave supporter Crispin Odey declared: ‘I think I may be the winner.’

He is one of a handful of hedge fund bosses to have hit the jackpot after taking big ‘short’ positions on company stocks and sterling, betting on their value falling in the aftermath of a vote to Leave.

Now please pay attention to the words “a handful”. So out of the 1000’s of investment bankers and hedge funds a handful got it right.

If you actually looked at all the trades that were taken in the hours of the Brexit vote, you would probably find that traders that rely solely on technical analysis, did far better from that move than the fundamental guys did.

Mr Odey also revealed his trading position had left him in line for huge losses if financial markets had risen, and he had lost his gamble.

So he picked a side, and gambled his investors money, and was correct. Do you think we would have been told about his huge losses if the gamble had gone against him? Well you are not hearing about the other hedge fund guys who gambled the wrong way are you.

Can i just make a point here that i do not like the word gamble, as trading is not about gambling. You take calculated risks based on high probability, and the higher the probability, the more success you will have.

So why do hedge funds and investment banks rely heavily on fundamental analysis and not on technical analysis?

The main reason is, they are managing huge sums of money, and they cannot enter and exit the market as a retail trader would. They have to build up a position, and an opinion over time, they add or subtract from that position as the fundamentals change.

To enter and exit the market with one trade would not only spook the market, it would also leave them in a vulnerable position should the market move against them. They have to hedge in and out of the market, building up an average price for their holdings, hence the term hedge fund. This strategy leaves them less exposed to currency fluctuations than they would be if they were all in, all out.

Retail traders can trade this way too if they know how to do it, but it does not mean that this way is better. It does not mean that fundamental analysis is any better than technical analysis, its just a safer way to trade large sums of money.

How i trade the Forex market?

I personally trade 70% technical and 30% fundamental. And when i say technical i am talking about reading a chart rather than reading a news story. People get technical analysis confused with indicators. They think that technical analysis is putting moving averages on your chart and waiting until they cross.

I trade by reading a chart correctly, and understanding what makes the market move. If you look at my article on the Brexit trade, you will see that the trade was purely based on chart reading. No fundamentals were involved at all in that trade.

Almost everyone that trades fundamentals got that trade wrong, but if you had been trading primarily from a technical standpoint, you would have had a much better chance of success.

So to all the trading providers out there that are telling people the reason they are losing money in the market is because they are trading technical analysis i say this.

The reason they are losing money is because they do not know how to trade.

It has nothing to do with fundamental or technical analysis. You do not need to know anything at all about fundamental analysis to make money in the Forex market, and that’s 100% true and i can prove it.

Fundamental analysis is not the answer to consistent profitability.

So if you are a technical trader that is losing money, and you are considering paying some of these training providers to teach you how to trade fundamentals like hedge funds and investment banks, just think about the Brexit trade. I am not saying what they teach is not going to help you, but its not the answer to consistent profitability that they make it out to be.

Courses that offer to teach you the fundamentals of trading are the in thing at the moment, and a lot of training providers are jumping on the bandwagon to offer this because of the failings of traditional technical based training providers.

Some retail traders think that by taking a course on fundamental analysis they will find the holy grail, but this is not the case. Fundamental analysis is just one approach to trading, and it does not guarantee you trading success. I make a lot more money in a lot less time with my chart reading skills, than i could ever make by following fundamentals.

I know what these guys teach, but they do not know what i teach. So just think about that, when you are considering whether to pay these guys, or to pay me to teach you how to trade.

You get the best of both worlds with my training course. :-)

The Brexit Trade.

The chart below shows the entry and exit points for the Brexit trade. GBP JPY was preferred over Cable as the Yen safe haven flows combined with Sterling selling produced the most pips.

One of my many strategies clearly shows the entry and exit levels for this trade, which could have banked you over 2600 pips.

This trade is based on just one simple strategy that i use to trade the markets. I have many strategies that i can teach you in my Forex training course.

The Brexit Trade

I know what you are thinking, that i have just drawn 2 lines on the chart, one at the top of the move, and one at the bottom, but let me just say this for all you doubters out there. I can with 100% confidence show you why one of my strategies clearly identified these 2 points on the chart for entry and exit of this trade. If you trust me and enroll on my Forex training course i will tell you why this trade worked, and show you many other high probability trades like this.

Please don’t get my training course confused with all the other crap out there. I will teach you what no one else can teach you. If you want to really understand the market, and be in a position to profit from trades like this, then please contact me for an informal chat.

Have a great day and thanks for visiting.