How To Be A Sucessful Forex Trader Using Market Logic.

In order to be a successful Forex trader you have to keep it simple. I have many profitable strategies that i use to make money from trading, but they are all based around simple market logic.

So what is market logic?

To understand market logic you have to understand the major forces that drive the market. What makes prices move up and down?

Most traders think that buyers and sellers move the market up and down. Now although that is true its not the only factor that drives price.

Other factors that influence price.

Think about this. When you enter a trade you buy or sell the market at a specific price. Now whether that trade is successful or not, you will have to exit that trade at some point in the future.

So say you buy the market, and set a take profit and a stop loss. Now in order for you to exit that trade, whether in profit or loss, your buy order will have to sell the market at some point to close out your position. So just by closing your trade you are influencing price.

The power of the majority.

If everyone is selling the market, why would you want to buy it? If everyone is buying the market why would you want to sell it?

This is a mistake that a lot of retail traders make. They try to catch tops and bottoms. I have done this myself when i first started out. How many times have you seen prices going down, and thought its going to reverse here, this is the bottom. So you pile in, only to see it go further down, and you think why is it going down, and down and down?

Well think about it logically. You buy at what you think is the bottom, and a few 100 others do the same, because lets face it, its not only going to be you that thinks its the bottom, there will be 1000s of other retail traders that think the same thing, who will also be buying at various levels.

So if all of these retail traders are buying, why is it still going down. Because the majority are still selling, and your buy orders are adding to that selling pressure.

How can buy orders add to selling pressure?

Well think about the other factors that influence price. Buy orders are seen as positive by the majority of traders, but when you have a strong downtrend they are negative. They are fuel for the fire of the downtrend. Why? because those buy orders are closed out with sell orders.

So as uninformed retail trades are trying to catch tops and bottoms, their stop losses are adding strength to the move, as those buy orders close as sell orders. Even if some traders do manage to catch a temporary bottom, when they close the trade for a small profit, their sell orders will send prices down again.

Major reversals in the market.

So if what im saying is true, and it is, what makes the market reverse, if its not buyers? Well if its not buyers that make the market reverse, it must be sellers right? Yes, but not just sellers. There are 3 main factors that will make the market reverse from a strong downtrend, or a strong uptrend. Buyers, sellers, and profit takers.

In this case we will work with the downtrend. As we have already established by trading against the majority you will lose your money.

The picture below shows how buyers, sellers, and profit takers affect the market.

Market Logic

In order to avoid losing money in the market, you always have to be on the correct side of the move, and trade with the majority. Following the trend is not always the answer though, as you can see how the buyers and sellers in that downtrend got smoked by entering at the wrong time. You have to enter and exit the market at key reversal levels in order to be successful.

My Forex training course will show you how to enter and exit the maket safely, and how to trade alongside the professionals.

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High Probability Reversal Patterns.

One of the keys to success in the Forex business, is having the ability to identify high probability reversal patterns on the chart.

There are many reversal patterns that present themselves on the chart every day, but not all of them are high probability. I am going to talk about some of the better patterns and how you can use them in your trading.

The Engulfing Candle.

engulfing candleAn engulfing candle or outside bar as its sometimes called, represents a complete change in trader sentiment. The way an engulfing candle forms is probably one of the biggest clues that a reversal or a potential reversal is on the cards.

Engulfing candles often form at the end of a trend and can be great reversal signals. The logic behind the engulfing candle is very powerful indeed, and the candle will change bulls into bears and bears into bulls in a very short space of time.

An engulfing candle is a very basic price action set up, but works very well at key reversal levels in the market. For more information on how to trade engulfing candles click here.

The Inside Bar.

inside barAn inside bar is basically a candle that forms inside another candle. Inside bars represent indecision in the market, and can be good indications of a potential reversal. They are not as powerful as engulfing candles, but when traded at good levels, they can produce a successful trade.

Inside bars can also produce a nice breakout trade. Breakouts work best when you have a multiple inside bar set up. A multiple inside bar set up can sometimes be called a flag, or a pennant. Multiple inside bar set ups will produce a much stronger breakout trade than a one bar set up, purely because the volume of orders in the market will be much larger, and as the price breaks out, and the stops are hit the move will be more powerful.

For more information on how to trade inside bars click here.

The Head And Shoulders Pattern.

The head and shouldlers, or inverse head and shoulders pattern, is also a very good reversal pattern and you will often find them at the end of trends, and at major turning points in the market. The head and shoulders pattern can be a very profitable pattern if you know how to trade it correctly.

Below is a picture of a head and shoulders pattern. You can also see that the right shoulder is made up of an engulfing candle, which makes the set up even stronger.head and shoulders

This set up works well when the left shoulder and the right shoulder are at the same level, but this does not always have to be the case for a head and shoulders reversal to work, but the head always has to be above the left and the right shoulder.

These are just some basic price action reversal patterns that you can use to help you in your trading. If you want to learn more advanced high probability reversal patterns please consider my Forex training course.

What Are No Supply And No Demand Candles?

How to identify no supply and no demand candles.

In past articles we have talked about pin bar reversal candles, and outside bars, as potential areas in the market where price can reverse. I now want to look at another candle formation that can also be an indication of a potential reversal signal.

No supply and no demand candles take into consideration the buying and selling volume within the candle formation. By studying the volume within a candle, you can establish where buyers and sellers are active or inactive in the market.

No Supply Candles. (No Sellers)

No supply candles indicate a potential long trade. The criteria for a no supply candle is as follows.

The Volume within the candle formation has to be lower than the volume of the previous 2 candles.
The candle has to close bearish (red body).
There has to be some sort of rejection (pin or wick) at the low of the candle.
If the candle closed at the bottom it would not be a no supply candle.

Below is an example of a no supply candle on a daily chart. The dotted line highlights the bearish candle with rejection at the low, and lower volume than the previous 2 candles.

As you can see it was a nice reversal level in the pair, and went on to produce some nice pips.

no supply candle

No Demand Candles. (No Buyers)

No demand candles indicate a potential short trade. The criteria for a no demand candle is as follows.

The Volume within the candle formation again has to be lower than the volume of the previous 2 candles.
The candle has to close bullish (green body).
There has to be some sort of rejection (pin or wick) at the high of the candle.
If the candle closed at the top it would not be a no supply candle.

Below is an example of two no demand candles on a daily chart. The dotted lines highlight the bullish candles with rejection at the high, and lower volume than the previous 2 candles.

The two no demand candles both produced nice trades, but more importantly they also formed a double top in the market, which is another good reversal signal in itself.

no demand candles

If you look at the second no demand candle, you will also see an inside bar next to it, which is a sign of indecision in the market. A nice 50% retrace entry on that too before the sell off πŸ™‚

Using no supply and no demand candles as potential reversal points within supply and demand areas is a trading strategy that can produce some nice results.

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